BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Illinois St

Class: 1 Class Rank: 181 Overall: (15-17) Overall Strength =   40.63
Conference: Missouri Valley Record: (9-12) | District: 1-02 Record: (14-16)

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 11-06-2023 Home    W      40.63  75  56   ZZ  50 ( 0- 1) Lourdes                -0.00     19.00                      
 2 11-11-2023 Away    L   *  33.91  71  80    1 193 (13-20) Saint Louis            -6.71     -2.29                      
 3 11-15-2023 Home    W   *  37.30  69  61    1 324 (14-18) E Illinois             -3.32     11.32                      
 4 11-20-2023 Neutral W   *  50.57  61  52    1 165 (21-15) Long Beach St           9.95     -0.95                      
 5 11-21-2023 Neutral L   *  43.02  72  74    1 124 (27- 9) High Point              2.39     -4.39                      
 6 11-22-2023 Neutral L   *  17.34  49  74    1 160 (18-14) Wright St             -23.29     -1.71                      
 7 11-30-2023 Away    W * *  48.35  69  64    1 188 (12-21) IL Chicago              7.73     -2.73                      
 8 12-03-2023 Home    W * *  43.41  76  72    1 159 (12-20) Murray St               2.78      1.22                      
 9 12-06-2023 Home    W   *  39.45  62  59    1 202 (18-15) N Kentucky             -1.17      4.17                      
10 12-09-2023 Home    L   *  28.68  58  64    1 233 (24-11) Norfolk St            -11.94      5.94                      
11 12-17-2023 Home    W   *  43.43  75  65    1 262 (15-17) N Dakota St             2.81      7.19                      
12 12-21-2023 Home    W   *  43.94  85  64    1 352 ( 9-22) SE Missouri St          3.31     17.69                      
13 12-29-2023 Away    L      34.46  70  96    1  20 (23-10) Kentucky               -6.17    -19.83                      
14 01-02-2024 Away    L * *  38.84  71  88    1  58 (28- 7) Drake                  -1.78    -15.22                      
15 01-06-2024 Home    L * *  35.89  64  71    1 116 (19-13) S Illinois             -4.74     -2.26                      
16 01-10-2024 Away    L * *  41.12  60  67    1 126 (20-13) Belmont                 0.49     -7.49                      
17 01-14-2024 Home    L * *  21.89  50  59    1 302 ( 7-25) Valparaiso            -18.74      9.74                      
18 01-17-2024 Home    L * *  28.97  56  77    1  58 (28- 7) Drake                 -11.65     -9.35                      
19 01-20-2024 Away    W * *  55.01  69  60    1 150 (17-16) Missouri St            14.38     -5.38                      
20 01-23-2024 Home    W * *  52.25  77  67    1 126 (20-13) Belmont                11.62     -1.62                      
21 01-27-2024 Away    L * *  37.66  54  58    1 213 (17-18) Evansville             -2.97     -1.03                      
22 01-30-2024 Away    W * *  47.28  61  59    1 159 (12-20) Murray St               6.66     -4.66                      
23 02-03-2024 Home    L * *  35.32  60  73    1  67 (23-12) Bradley                -5.31     -7.69                      
24 02-07-2024 Home    L * *  32.48  56  61    1 188 (12-21) IL Chicago             -8.14      3.14                      
25 02-10-2024 Away    L * *  45.76  66  69    1 116 (19-13) S Illinois              5.13     -8.13                      
26 02-13-2024 Away    W * *  70.51  80  67    1  43 (32- 7) Indiana St             29.88    -16.88                      
27 02-18-2024 Home    W * *  42.79  86  79    1 213 (17-18) Evansville              2.16      4.84                      
28 02-21-2024 Home    W * *  50.99  81  73    1 113 (19-14) Northern Iowa          10.37     -2.37                      
29 02-24-2024 Away    L * *  51.19  45  48    1  67 (23-12) Bradley                10.56    -13.56                      
30 02-28-2024 Home    W * *  41.14  75  74    1 150 (17-16) Missouri St             0.51      0.49                      
31 03-03-2024 Away    L * *  33.76  72  75    1 302 ( 7-25) Valparaiso             -6.87      3.87                      
32 03-07-2024 Neutral L * *  32.72  53  59    1 213 (17-18) Evansville             -7.91      1.91                      
      Averages              40.63  66.5 67.7

Best game:   70.51 = 13 point win over Indiana St
Worst game:  17.34 = 25 point loss to Wright St
Team stdev:  10.20